May 16, 2025
Early morning thread. 2 AM to 10 AM.
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🌪️ An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is likely today and tonight 🌪️
Severe weather language is elevated today. We don't want to scare you, but the threat is significant. Be prepared, as always.
There will be a long lull today as the atmosphere charges. Don't be surprised when there is little or nothing on radar for an extended period.
As always, not everyone will experience severe weather, but a few spots will be hit hard.
A significant event is anticipated. That includes 70 to 100 mph wind gusts, a few reports of baseball-sized hail, and several tornadoes.
Some of the tornadoes could be intense and long-tracked.
This event is similar to our March and April severe weather outbreaks that produced numerous reports of severe weather in our region.
We will have one round of severe weather this morning. Now through 7 AM.
The primary concern this morning will be large hail. A few reports of damaging wind gusts will be possible. The tornado risk this morning is low, but not zero.
The risk of hurricane-force winds, very large hail, and tornadoes will increase this afternoon and evening.
The atmosphere will become very unstable later today and tonight. There will be considerable wind shear (spinning in the atmosphere).
If supercells form, they could produce very large hail, high winds, and intense tornadoes.
If a line of storms forms, it will produce pockets of large hail, widespread wind damage, and short-lived strong tornadoes.
Please be prepared to seek shelter in the event of a warning.
Stay weather aware. Have three to five ways of receiving severe weather information.
Now is the time to consider your afternoon and evening plans. There are numerous field trips and graduations. Be prepared.
I will be sending out www.weathertalk.com weather alerts throughout the day and evening.
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May 15, 2025
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Thursday afternoon and night, severe weather Q&A thread.
Severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening. Overall, the risk appears to be limited. Monitor.
Another round is possible, with large hail, late tonight into the wee morning hours. I am a little more concerned about the storms late tonight.
The primary concern will be golf ball to baseball-sized hail, 65 mph wind gusts, and an isolated tornado.
This threat will not materialize IF the CAP does not break. You can have storms without the CAP breaking.
If they become surface-based, then they will become severe. That is what I will be monitoring.
Hail is the primary concern this afternoon and tonight. A few reports of wind damage, as well.
Storms are developing in Arkansas and moving northeast.
Storms are possible in our region from now into the evening hours.
Another round is possible, with large hail, late tonight into the wee morning hours. I am a little more concerned about the storms late tonight.
Stay weather aware. Have three to five ways of receiving severe weather information.
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Thursday, May 15, 2025
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** Outbreak of severe thunderstorms likely **
Don't focus too much on the exact placement of level three or four. The risk is the same in both colors.
A moderate (level four out of five) risk of severe weather has been issued for Friday and Friday night.
Expect numerous watches and dozens of severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings tomorrow.
The primary concern will be Friday afternoon and night (although some severe storms are possible between 12 am and 7 am Friday, as well).
The concern will be baseball/softball-sized hail, 80 mph wind gusts, and tornadoes. A few of the tornadoes could be intense.
Have three to five ways of receiving severe weather information.
Now is the time to plan where you will be tomorrow.
Charge your devices.
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🌪️ NEW SERVICE 🌪️ I have partnered with WeatherCall to bring you an added layer of protection. This does not replace your WeatherTalk/Beau Dodson Weather app. This is an added layer of protection.
WeatherCall will call your cell phone or home number if your home is in a tornado or severe thunderstorm warning. It only calls you if your home is inside the warning box. If you are outside the warning box, it will not disturb you.
Here is a link with more information
www.tornadocall.com
YouTube Video with more information
www.youtube.com/watch?v=ve2UY2mAkEI
What the tornado warning sounds like
www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXBc03tW_N0
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