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When the weather becomes personal! Beau Dodson is a degreed broadcast meteorologist. Bachelor of Science degree. Serving southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
June 21, 2026
Happy Father's Day
A warm and humid day ahead of us.
Thunderstorm chances will increase, especially mid-afternoon into tonight.
Some of the storms could be severe. See the severe weather thread.
Sunday, Father's Day 2026
** Severe Thunderstorms are Likely Later Today and Tonight **
A stormy 24 hours ahead of us.
Much of the day may be dry across a decent chunk of the region.
The bulk of the storms will occur late this afternoon into tonight.
A few thunderstorms may enter the forecast by early and mid-afternoon. Especially over Missouri and Illinois.
Coverage will increase late this afternoon into tonight.
Numerous thunderstorms are likely. Some will produce torrential downpours, strong and gusty winds, hail, and perhaps even a tornado.
A flood watch has been issued for my far northern counties (see the comment section).
We are in a level one and two severe weather risk. That could be upgraded to a level three. Either way, changing the level does not impact the going forecast.
A few storms could be severe today and tonight.
Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather App. If you want a phone call when a severe thunderstorm, tornado warning,or tornado emergency is issued, then sign up for www.tornadocall.com
More information in the comment section.
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Saturday, June 20, 2026
Father's Day Thunderstorm Update.
It won't rain all day Sunday. I would not cancel plans, but I would stay vigilant on what the radars are showing and the alerts that I send out.
A complex forecast unfolds Sunday morning into Sunday night. It seems many of the severe weather events this year have been complicated.
Two or more thunderstorm complexes (called MCS's) will impact the quad-state region tomorrow and tomorrow night.
There remain significant uncertainties with the path and intensity of each complex.
This is not uncommon for MCS season (summer). These large thunderstorm complexes often offer up surprises.
Illinois and Missouri will have a higher chance of thunderstorms tomorrow morning and early afternoon. Kentucky and Tennessee will eventually get in on the thunderstorm action (but timing remains a question).
The key takeaway from the forecast is that Sunday into Sunday night will bring showers and thunderstorms back into the area.
Some of these thunderstorms will likely be severe with damaging wind and perhaps some hail. The tornado risk continues to be assessed. It is not a zero risk, by any means.
The morning MCS will impact what happens the rest of the day.
If the morning MCS is farther south (into our region), then it could interfere with what happens later in the day.
As you know, morning clouds and rain cause the atmosphere to be more stable later in the day. Thus, lowering the severe risk.
If, on the other hand, the morning system passes by quickly, then the atmosphere will have plenty of time to receover. Thus, increasing the severe weather threat later in the day and night.
My going forecast does include severe weather on Father's Day. It is just a matter of timing and intensity.
You will want to monitor the latest forecast and radars.
Make sure you have a few ways of receiving your severe weather alerts. Including the Beau Dodson Weather App and TornadoCall. Links in the comments.
A weather radio (Midland Weather Radios) is also a good way to receive warnings.
Stay weather-aware on Sunday and Sunday night.
Remember, a watch means to monitor updates. A WARNING means to seek shelter.
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