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🌤️ June 18, 2026
Good morning, fellow weather observers.
We had a stormy night in some counties. Others remained dry.
The blog has been updated. The video has been updated. See those on your Beau Dodson Weather app.
See the www.weathertalk.com weather blog and video for the most up-to-date graphics.
✔️ The daily video and weather blog have been updated with fresh weather graphics.
✔️ The seven-day weather video has been updated on the www.weathertalk.com website and on your Beau Dodson Weather app.
Not a member? Subscribe at the link above and receive daily updates.
⚠️ When rain is in the forecast, please see the daily blog for a breakdown of rain probabilities for each 12-hour time period.
A warm and humid morning for most areas.
A line of thunderstorms is pushing southward through portions of southeast MO, southern IL, and western KY. See the live radar links in the comment section.
There is a small risk that a few of the thunderstorms today will produce gusty winds and small hail. Lightning, of course.
That would mainly be across southern Missouri into Kentucky and Tennessee.
Friday and Saturday are the pick days of the weekend. Nice weather.
Showers and thunderstorms redevelop Saturday night into Monday.
A few of those storms could be strong.
Please see the daily blog for detailed rain-probability graphics.
See the www.weathertalk.com blog and video for graphics.
See the rain probability graphics on the www.weathertalk.com blog.
June 18, 2026
RADARS AND LIGHTNING TRACKERS
Showers and thunderstorms are likely today. Especially across the southern half of the region.
Some of you will receive little or no rainfall. Keep that in mind.
Beau Dodson's Live Weather Radars and Live Lightning Data
Beau's Weather Radars (local interactive radars)
beaudodsonweather.com/weather-radars/
Regional Radar
imagery.weathertalk.com/prx/RadarLoop.mp4
Zoom National Interactive Radar
wtalk.co/AVWG7GM7
Real-time lightning tracker system two.
map.blitzortung.org/#5.02/37.95/-86.99
Lightning Data (zoom in and out of your local area)
wtalk.co/WJ3SN5UZ
June 18, 2026
The highest chances for showers and thunderstorms today will be across my southern counties.
Some areas may receive no measurable rain.
Here is the probability graphic (the % chance of rain) from 7 AM to 7 PM today.
A few storms could produce gusty winds and small hail. Similar to yesterday, the threat is fairly low.
June 18, 2026
It was a stormy night for some of you. Others were left untouched by the thunderstorms.
Today will be warm and humid. The cold front is still to our north.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to move southward through the region. New showers and thunderstorms will simply form overnight.
Some areas may receive no measurable rain.
The chance of rain today is higher across the southern half of the region.
Once again, there is a low-level risk that a few storms could produce high wind gusts and small hail.
June 17, 2026
8 PM update
A low-end risk of severe weather continues tonight. Perhaps a bit more concern north of the red line. Monitor updates.
Storm tracking links and additional information are in the comments.
** Only small adjustments were made from the 6 AM forecast graphic **
I shifted the line 10 miles (give/take) farther south. Nothing significant.
I can't find any significant reasons to change my thinking from earlier this morning. This remains a low-risk event.
The threat is not increasing.
Storms will push into our northern counties later this evening and continue well past midnight. Perhaps even into sunrise tomorrow.
With time, they will weaken.
A few of tonight's thunderstorms could produce pockets of damaging wind gusts, quarter-sized hail, lightning, and downpours.
The tornado risk is low, but it isn't zero. Mainly north of the red line. Thus, monitor any watches and/or warnings that are issued.
The key wording here is that the threat is low.
The biggest question mark remains in areas south of the red line. I am just going to have to monitor the radars tonight and send out alerts if necessary.
The risk is low.
There remains a CAP over the region. A warm layer of air that can help weaken thunderstorms.
Monitor your Beau Dodson Weather app for possible watches and/or warnings.
Remember, a warning means to seek shelter.
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