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When the weather becomes personal! Beau Dodson is a degreed broadcast meteorologist. Bachelor of Science degree. Serving southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
July 11, 2026
Rinse and repeat.
After this morning's thunderstorms, there will be additional rounds this afternoon into tonight.
The primary time-frame of concern will be 1 PM to 9 PM.
Some of these storms will produce damaging wind, torrential rain, flash flooding, and frequent lightning.
The tornado risk is low, but perhaps not zero. Any tornado would be short-lived and on the low end of the scale.
Stay weather aware.
July 11, 2026
Another night of severe weather and flash flooding.
The heaviest rain fell across northern portions of southeast Missouri and then into southern Illinois. From there, it tracked into portions of western Kentucky.
That means that in the past 72 hours, some of these areas have received over ten inches of rain.
Some of the radar-estimated totals.
July 10, 2026
** A severe thunderstorm watch covers most of the area until 12 AM **
Severe weather and flash flooding thread.
The highest risk of flash flooding tonight will likely be over SE MO and southern IL. I will be monitoring KY and TN.
If you have reports, then please post them. Photos are always helpful.
Be specific about the location and time of the event.
Severe thunderstorms have formed in southern Illinois. Additional storms will form in southeast Missouri.
Eventually, these storms will impact western Kentucky and Tennessee.
The primary concern tonight is flash flooding from excessive rainfall.
Rainfall rates of one to three inches per hour are likely in some counties.
Many areas are already soaked from recent heavy rain.
The second concern will be damaging wind gusts. Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, as well.
An isolated short-lived tornado can't be ruled out.
Severe Weather Statement
Issued at 4 PM.
Friday, July 10th.
If severe thunderstorms develop, then I will send out Beau Dodson WeatherTalk app alerts.
Don't forget, I don't send out flash flood warnings because there are so many of them issued. Flash flood warnings are likely in some counties.
** Flash flooding at night is especially dangerous **
Slow down so you don't accidentally drive into flood waters. This happened to numerous people last night. Some almost died.
Thunderstorms will rapidly develop over eastern and southeast Missouri this evening. These storms will then push into southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and northwest Tennessee.
Some of these storms will likely be severe with damaging wind gusts. Same as recent days.
The bigger concern, however, is torrential rain. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches per hour will occur during the heaviest storms.
Much of the region (not everywhere) is soaked from recent storms. Some counties have received 5 to 15 inches of rain over the past couple of weeks.
Last night, many areas received 1 to 3 inches of rain. Then, there were pockets of 3 to 10"+. Again, not everywhere, but a large portion of the region.
An additional one to three inches of rain is likely in some counties tonight. Then, there will be bands of 3 to 6"+.
We believe the highest risk of these totals will be near the red streak on the attached graphic. In or near that zone.
This will cause flash flooding. In some cases, significant flash flooding.
Additional severe storms and heavy rain are likely on Saturday.
Stay weather aware.
Have three or more ways of receiving your severe weather information.
Don't forget that www.tornadocall.com will call you if your home is in a tornado warning, tornado emergency, severe thunderstorm warning, and/or flash flood emergency.
I partnered with them a couple of years ago.
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